Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 11.755952 13.539932 15.444914 17.623984 20.040912 22.632831 25.615768
2025-02-16 8.974460 11.214528 13.757413 16.835931 20.439102 24.499678 29.397467
2025-02-23 7.342966 9.837827 12.819401 16.600494 21.219839 26.630603 33.394679
2025-03-02 6.048413 8.641137 11.887958 16.178698 21.619689 28.206178 36.690556
2025-03-09 5.145642 7.796940 11.260399 16.007505 22.225196 29.966527 40.193248
2025-03-16 4.341978 6.968759 10.543032 15.614223 22.459508 31.204808 43.024684
2025-03-23 3.839628 6.489887 10.229267 15.697248 23.271842 33.162957 46.790149
2025-03-30 3.375927 6.005598 9.849729 15.636326 23.851551 34.801349 50.157627
2025-04-06 3.047399 5.683864 9.664908 15.816312 24.742299 36.855948 54.109796
2025-04-13 2.760166 5.390978 9.489568 15.981897 25.597808 38.868452 58.042414
2025-04-20 2.573751 5.240230 9.511914 16.428205 26.856879 41.459260 62.817726
2025-04-27 2.379291 5.051954 9.454713 16.739122 27.916684 43.789283 67.281771
2025-05-04 2.138453 4.756975 9.204784 16.738382 28.517359 45.496168 70.941988
2025-05-11 1.803041 4.245445 8.550375 16.048217 28.032803 45.611639 72.340096
2025-05-18 1.591546 3.940894 8.217905 15.848345 28.276219 46.775280 75.245425
2025-05-25 1.376563 3.599261 7.787981 15.452578 28.182914 47.422222 77.401616
2025-06-01 1.219813 3.355674 7.511078 15.291873 28.444869 48.594173 80.339110
2025-06-08 1.054563 3.068752 7.126206 14.914419 28.329440 49.176685 82.403267
2025-06-15 0.960723 2.928738 7.007584 14.995184 28.961597 50.913750 86.221904
2025-06-22 0.861710 2.761567 6.820063 14.936731 29.352213 52.278021 89.499828
2025-06-29 0.795267 2.663883 6.762675 15.110407 30.136174 54.273032 93.774133
2025-07-06 0.733451 2.568560 6.701251 15.270140 30.897146 56.245165 98.048853
2025-07-13 0.699685 2.542083 6.781606 15.700625 32.138483 59.010357 103.600199